A research idea improves only when its outcome is reviewed against the original thesis.

An outcome is meaningful only if the original entry price, direction, reason, source quality, and invalidation idea were recorded. Without that context, later review becomes vulnerable to hindsight bias.

A result can be a thesis hit, thesis miss, neutral outcome, stale idea, or execution-quality problem. These labels help separate market judgment from contract selection and timing errors.

The lesson should say what should change next time. Useful lessons are specific: avoid a setup under certain source conditions, require stronger confirmation, shorten the horizon, or keep the idea research-only until more examples exist.